Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000102 0.000113 0.000125 0.000139 0.000153 0.000170 0.000188
2025-12-14 0.000087 0.000102 0.000119 0.000140 0.000165 0.000193 0.000228
2025-12-21 0.000076 0.000093 0.000114 0.000140 0.000173 0.000214 0.000266
2025-12-28 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000139 0.000180 0.000232 0.000302
2026-01-04 0.000060 0.000080 0.000105 0.000141 0.000190 0.000255 0.000347
2026-01-11 0.000054 0.000074 0.000102 0.000141 0.000198 0.000275 0.000390
2026-01-18 0.000049 0.000070 0.000098 0.000141 0.000204 0.000293 0.000431
2026-01-25 0.000045 0.000065 0.000095 0.000140 0.000209 0.000310 0.000472
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000062 0.000092 0.000140 0.000215 0.000329 0.000517
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000138 0.000218 0.000343 0.000556
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000138 0.000223 0.000359 0.000599
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000053 0.000084 0.000138 0.000229 0.000378 0.000649
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000050 0.000081 0.000136 0.000232 0.000394 0.000694
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000048 0.000081 0.000139 0.000242 0.000420 0.000763
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000248 0.000443 0.000826
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000138 0.000252 0.000461 0.000881
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000043 0.000077 0.000140 0.000262 0.000490 0.000961
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000075 0.000141 0.000268 0.000513 0.001031
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000140 0.000273 0.000534 0.001099
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000072 0.000139 0.000277 0.000552 0.001164
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000139 0.000283 0.000575 0.001240
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000138 0.000284 0.000590 0.001300
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000034 0.000067 0.000137 0.000288 0.000609 0.001371